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Hall of Fame
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Posted at BOTB by Bird Brain.
Sources: Mauer, Twins Agree To 10-Year Contract Details not available yet, but it will probably be a template for an extension with Pujols.
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#2 | |
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Location: Monticello, IL
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Major Leaguer
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 273
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#4 | |
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Hall of Fame
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However, there's a much larger market for a gold glove catcher who can lead his league in batting average 3 years out of 6 than there is for a gold glove 1st baseman who has led his league in OPS 3 times out of 9. The delta between Mauer and the average catcher is significantly larger than the delta between Pujols and the average 1st baseman and there are at least 5 1st basemen who -- though inferior to Pujols overall -- are at least reasonably close comps. A team isn't giving up that much if they have to settle for Teixeira, Youkilis, Howard, Fielder, or Adrian Gonzalez instead of Pujols, and that's ignoring Mauer's teammate who was AL MVP a couple years ago. Objectively, Pujols may be worth as much as a hitter as Alex Rodriguez, but Albert is not a shortstop or a 3rd baseman. His 1st base comp is Teixeira, who got an 8 year, $180M contract from the Yankees 2 years ago. But Teixeira was 2 years younger at the time and he was the only premier 1st baseman on the market before the economy hit the skids. Right now, Pujols has the 19th biggest contract in ML history, but you have to look at who's ahead of him. The top five contracts -- all of those over $160M -- were all given out to Yankees players. (Yes, A-Rod got the #2 contract, but the Rangers ended up choking on that deal and selling it to the Yankees at a discount.) In a much better economy, only the Yankees were willing to give Mark Teixeira a $180M contract. Now, the Yankees have begun to pinch pennies and they have a 1st baseman; who else in the current economy is going to give out a Teixeira-level contract, with all the other 1st basemen who will be competing for big contracts in 2011-2012. The Cardinals are also going to have to discount Pujols if they give him an extension now, 2 years away from free agency. Yes, his price will go up tremendously if he reaches free agency, but giving him an extension now means that the Cards will have assumed 2 years of risk and taken that risk away from Pujols. Realistically, I can't see Pujols getting above $21M - $22M a year on a 7-year extension and even that will likely involve deferrals which would reduce the annual cost of the contract significantly, unless the Cards wait a year or two.
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#5 |
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Hall of Fame
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Las Vegas, NV
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FWIW, Mauer's been around long enough to get some comps on baseball-reference.
His top four, through his current age (26) are Bill Dickey, Yogi Berra, Jason Kendall, and Mickey Cochrane. Not a bad comp list, although I can't figure out what Jason Kendall is doing on that list.
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#6 |
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Administrator
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Springdale, AR
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There are a number of intangibles that figure into negotiating a contract with Pujols that go beyonf his comparison with other first basemen. I can't think of another first baseman that plays the game with the aggressiveness of Albert Pujols. And he gets positive results from that aggressiveness.
But the greater intangibles that work to his advantage are the valid perceptions of his greatness as a player and individual by media and fans, and the negative impact on the Cardinals that will result overall if they don't sign him. Ask anyone and almost all will say he is the best overall player in baseball right now.
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#7 |
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Hall of Fame
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Which isn't the issue. The issue is where he will rank from age 31-38 if he receives a 7-year contract extension. The majority of long term contracts turn out to be very poor bargains at the back end. (A few don't; Jeter is the one example which comes to my mind at the moment.)
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Harry, ITF In Memoriam, Denny Palamarchuck and Tim Davis Two devout Cardinals fans with Major League Hearts Official SLSF Sponsor of Joe Mather and Nicholas Additon |
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#8 | |
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Administrator
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#9 |
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Hall of Fame
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As good as Pujols is (and no one is better), Mauer is better than the next group of catchers by a bigger margin than Pujols is better than the next group of firstbaseman.
Firstbaseman litter the top OPS players in the league (where there where 4 within 50 points of Pujols and 12 within 100 points). Catchers:Mauer was 2nd, the next best is 47th. Mauer was 170 points ahead of #2 in catchers. The next was almost 200 points behind. Pujols had 20 within 180 points. What that does to his value I'm not sure, but it's arguable that Mauer as a catcher has exceptional value. I doubt he can keep up last years hitting stats, for no reason other than the wear and tear on catchers. But if he could, he would be the majors best player. |
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#10 |
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Hall of Fame
Join Date: Mar 2007
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ESPN and CBS Sports reporting finally singing 8 year contract
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=5016230 Mauer gets full no-trade clause in dealEmail Print Comments 55Share160retweet6Associated Press Mauer MINNEAPOLIS -- AL MVP Joe Mauer has agreed to an eight-year, $184 million contract extension to stay with the Minnesota Twins. The deal announced Sunday covers the 2011-2018 seasons and includes a full no-trade clause. It's the culmination of a monthslong negotiation between the Twins and their hometown star. Mauer has won three AL batting titles and an MVP award. He is considered one of the best defensive catchers in the game. Last year he hit .365 with 28 home runs and 96 RBIs to help the Twins win the AL Central division. The St. Paul native was the No. 1 overall pick by the Twins in 2001. Copyright 2010 by The Associated Press
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#11 |
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That's a lot of moola, especially for a team with a payroll the size the Twins have been having.
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#12 |
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Hall of Fame
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Now we know the kind of numbers it will take to sign Albert. 8 years at $23M seems to be about what I was hoping for.
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#13 |
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Hall of Fame
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If I got an 8 year contract for that kind of money, I'd be "singing" too.
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